not the chart.
Two old friends argue about the future.
One builds a math model. The other trusts his gut. A scoreboard keeps it honest. New episode every week.
The premise
Every week he texts me a question — one thin sentence. I disappear and build a little math model of it. We roll camera and he sees it cold, live. The model gets bent, salvaged, or abandoned on air — then one point goes on the board.
Episode 02
the bracket race is on.2,147,483,648 ways to fill in a World Cup bracket. We each submitted one — real entries, real stakes. MATH's came straight out of a rating engine with zero human help (Eric missed the pick deadline; the confession is in the episode). VIBES came on paper, with margin notes about Messi and FIFA.
Banked points after the Round of 16. Both of us picked Argentina to lift it — still alive. The split is the other finalist: the model says France, Thomas says Spain.
Episode 01
the question is out.Pull the sliders. Break it yourself. Then come tell us we're wrong.
- Variability — “almost incomprehensible,” he says
- Pricing — “a system priced to meet that”
- Weather — “delayed an hour,” allegedly